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99ers Crisis About to Get Much Worse

December 14, 2010 - by Donny Shaw

I’ve been trying to make the point that the 99er problem — people exhausting all unemployment benefits without finding a job — is about to get much worse because we’re approaching 99 weeks from the brunt of the recession unemployment spike. Congress is not planning to add more weeks of unemployment benefits and the Federal Reserve is projecting the unemployment rate to stay pretty much where it is for the next year. Putting it all together, this means that for the foreseeable future, there will no jobs and no government support for the millions of 99ers.

This graph from Calculated Risk showing three years of job losses makes it very clear — millions of people who lost their jobs in the deepest part of the recession are about to be dropped off a cliff:

Adding insult to injury, 99ers are not even tracked by the government. The way the employment statistics system works, when people go off of unemployment, they are not considered part of the work force and not factored into the numbers for employed or unemployed. This is why we have no firm number of 99ers, and why it’s so easy for policymakers to ignore this crisis.

Expect homelessness, the suicide rate, and despeartion-related crimes to spike. And remember to look at this when the consumer recovery doesn’t turn out as rosy as expected over the next couple years.

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Comments

Displaying 121-144 of 144 total comments.

  • Nodlee87 12/15/2010 6:42am

    FACT: If you have exhausted all available Tiers of benefits already, HR 4853 WILL NOT HELP YOU AT ALL.

    FACT: If you are on Tier 2 now (or soon will be) and your state does not meet the state UI % threshold for Tiers 3 and or 4, HR 4853 WILL NOT HELP YOU AT ALL and after 14 weeks of Tier 2 you will have no more UI at all.

    FACT: If you are collecting in Tier 1 and your state does not meet the state UI % threshold for Tiers 3 and or 4, HR 4853 WILL NOT HELP YOU COLLECT past the additional 14 weeks of Tier 2.

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/99ers-cutoff-2010-12#ixzz18CfbkQNu

  • Nodlee87 12/15/2010 6:42am

    FACT: If you are collecting now on your original 26 weeks of State benefits and your state does not meet the state UI % threshold for Tiers 3 and or 4, HR 4853 WILL NOT HELP YOU COLLECT past the additional 20 weeks in Tier 1 + 14 weeks of Tier 2 That = 36 weeks or a about 8 months NOT 13 Months.

    If you think that 8 months is enough time to land a job in this terrible economy, just consider that millions of Americans have been unsuccessful in landing any job for well over 2.5 years of desperate searching. Including 9 months now without any UI benefits – of course I am referring to the 99ers.

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/99ers-cutoff-2010-12#ixzz18CfjJoCc

  • saturnsc2 12/15/2010 8:42am

    I GOT A JOB INTERVIEW FRIDAY AT THE CLEVELAND CLINIC! my 3rd interview in 2 years! i have been trying to get in there for quite sometime. i got friends & reletives who work there who have been lobbying to get me in also. if i get in i will still come here & sign petitions & help fight for the 99ers. unlike congress i won’t forget what i am/was & won’t forget about all the rest of the 99ers who need jobs. wish me luck! will post an update asap…..

  • BenjaWiz 12/15/2010 8:52am

    Washington does not care about the poor they are hell bent on destroying the middle class or whats left of the middle class. Obama is a Wall St. crook and lied about change he’s continued the BUSH Administrations policies they will always worry about themselves.

  • BenjaWiz 12/15/2010 9:01am

    You guys are sheep they are your owners until you wake up and realize how the system works you will continue to vote the 2 party system and will be slaves it’s a harsh reality but the truth does hurt, they don’t need you anymore they have their cheap labor in China and India this is about greed not you or your family please wake up! stop allowing this political 2 party system create chaos among you.

  • BenjaWiz 12/15/2010 9:09am

    When Wikileaks released classified documents alot of you might have said shame on such a person for releasing such documents but why not release the truth about what Governments do? they should be accountable to you the people don’t agree with them that this was bad because their actions over 11+ years these politicians have showed they do not care about us.

  • BenjaWiz 12/15/2010 9:14am

    I love my Country not the Government.

  • gerryd 12/15/2010 9:54am

    Do you realize just how many of the “long term employed” that these hypocritical, heartless, Dictators have duped into thinking they are included in this Tax Cut Debacle? Many 99er’s THINK they fall into this bracket!! I have 3 friends who are 99er’s and they thought they were included because of Jake Tapper OPENLY LYING on World News Tonight last Friday Night that 9 MILLION unemployed people will get benefits!! He out and out LIED!!!! Typical of ABC – very Republican Biased Millionaires themselves!! Also, many of the current unemployed, the 2 million they keep referring to, are on their last Tier 4 or State Extended benefits and THEN their benefits will stop!!! They THINK they are going to get it until Dec. 2011!!! The unemployed HOSTGES were used and then DUPED by EVERYONE – the “DICTATORS”, the NEWS MEDIA – EVERYONE!!!! Of those 2 million “long termed” unemployed HOSTAGES, approx. 30,000 per month will be losing their benefits but they do not even know it!!! Look out then!!

  • gerryd 12/15/2010 9:59am

    And Bear – you have EVERY RIGHT to vent. At least we know and experience your pain. I am not offended at all!! Just vent to us – people who care about you. I watched them take my car, at 2 AM, and put it on a Trailer Bed to repossess it. I had it hidden for two weeks in a hospital parking lot, but figured I’d better give it up. The only satisfaction I got was to call the Financial Company and tell them their REPO man should be fired when he could not even FIND my car and I was the one who told them where it was!!! Now they want me to pay them $5000 more!! I gave them the number of the White House and told them they would have to speak to my Financial Adviser!!!!

  • Comm_reply
    seanurse 12/15/2010 10:48am

    gerryd—- I JUST HAD TO REPLY TO THE ABOVE. yOU ARE THE ONLY PERSON WHO HAS MADE ME LAUGH IN A LONG TIME. REFERRING TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. THIS WAS PRICELESS. THANKS FOR SOMETHING UPBEAT. LOOKS LIKE WE ARE ALL GOING TO THE STREETS AND FORGET CHRISTMAS. HOPING FOR THE BEST BUT AS USUAL EXPECTING ONLY DEPRESSION,CRYING, AND HOMELESSNESS, MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL WHO CAN STILL HAVE ONE.

  • Comm_reply
    seanurse 12/15/2010 10:48am

    gerryd—- I JUST HAD TO REPLY TO THE ABOVE. yOU ARE THE ONLY PERSON WHO HAS MADE ME LAUGH IN A LONG TIME. REFERRING TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. THIS WAS PRICELESS. THANKS FOR SOMETHING UPBEAT. LOOKS LIKE WE ARE ALL GOING TO THE STREETS AND FORGET CHRISTMAS. HOPING FOR THE BEST BUT AS USUAL EXPECTING ONLY DEPRESSION,CRYING, AND HOMELESSNESS, MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL WHO CAN STILL HAVE ONE.

  • Comm_reply
    seanurse 12/15/2010 10:48am

    gerryd—- I JUST HAD TO REPLY TO THE ABOVE. yOU ARE THE ONLY PERSON WHO HAS MADE ME LAUGH IN A LONG TIME. REFERRING TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. THIS WAS PRICELESS. THANKS FOR SOMETHING UPBEAT. LOOKS LIKE WE ARE ALL GOING TO THE STREETS AND FORGET CHRISTMAS. HOPING FOR THE BEST BUT AS USUAL EXPECTING ONLY DEPRESSION,CRYING, AND HOMELESSNESS, MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL WHO CAN STILL HAVE ONE.

  • gerryd 12/15/2010 10:05am

    WE DEFINITELY NEED TO BAND TOGETHER AND REVOLT!!! LET’S FIGURE OUT HOW! THERE ARE BASICALLY MILLIONS OF US AND IF YOU INCLUDE ALL THE PEOPLE IN OUR LIVES WHO ARE FEELING OUR PAIN AND ANGUISH DAILY, THAT IS A HELL OF A LOT OF PEOPLE!!! LOTS OF VOTERS FOR 2012!!!!!

  • Comm_reply
    beenblue 12/15/2010 10:34am

    I LIKE YOUR SPUNK TIGER..

  • Checkless 12/15/2010 10:29am

    I think that we should continue to contact the House of Representatives to let them know that we so desperately need additional weeks added and a Tier V. If not, they SHOULD NOT pass the bill. Let taxes go up for the wealthy and by the time that they figure out that additional weeks are mandatory there will be some money to pay for it. I want the other unemployment Americans to get their checks. I am sorry if I selfish, but I feel that we all need to get paid and the only way to insure that is for the House of Representatives not to pass this bill, send it back and demand changes. They should have a standoff with the Republicans. If the Republicans are resigned to the unemployed not having money to exist on then they should not get this lavish tax deal at our expense. It’s not right!!!!!

  • Comm_reply
    Sher1 12/15/2010 3:19pm

    @Checkless: You are right but its not going to happen because of the selfishness and greed that reigns supreme in this country. If ALL of the unemployed had been in sinc and fighting for UI extensions mos ago for ALL of the unemployed then it would have happened but the HR 4213 recently unemployed disappeared after the bill was passed and came back boo hooing once again. 99ers GOD BLESS YOU! I hope they call sleep well at night knowing they got a limited UI extension and will get a rude-awakening in January. It was wrong what they did because they didn’t fight for the 99ers and some will say they did and SOME did but MOST did not.

  • NavyVet81 12/15/2010 10:42am

    I seriously feel for these people as I was unemployed as of FEB 2010 up to recently. I just nabbed a job with the federal gov’t and in times like these I’ll take that over a private sector job any day. Most 99’ers are not unemployed by CHOICE. It is not a free ride and it is not easy to just “go get a job”… In the 10 months that I had been looking for work I got a bit desperate and I too applied for the “any” jobs and they looked at my last salary, which was in the 85K bracket, & for the most part said, ‘no thank you…’ They know someone with real life experience/career history is GONE as soon as something better comes along. So it really isn’t as “simple” as some people want to believe it is. In the 10 months it took to get a job offer I had to have applied for at minimum of 2 jobs a day, meaning at least 400 applications, & plenty which consisted of PACKAGES & of all those applications I had gotten a total of 4 interviews. So what does that tell you about the current job market!?

  • Abaratarrr 12/15/2010 5:52pm

    get ready Washington, this is just the tip of the ice burg, people are desperate and have nothing to loose, please provide more weeks of benefits for the long term unemployed. This bill does not help the long term unemployed, Obama lied to the nation when he said that the bill extends unemployment for 13 months, the bill just extends the deadline to sign up for the current benefits, it provides no new weeks, this is why this man is dead.

    This is an interview with the wife of the 99er in Florida who’s life ended too soon. I hope that she will be OK

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPsMKXlB4eQ

    Contact Nancy Pelosi today (202) 225-4965 or AmericanVoices@mail.house.gov, more benefits for the long term unemployed is entirely up to her at this point, let her know that the 13 month extension proposed by Obama does nothing for the long term unemployed.

  • professor_101 12/16/2010 9:01am

    Donny Shaw makes good predictions. On Dec. 14th, he wrote, “Expect homelessness, the suicide rate, and desperation-related crimes to spike.” Unfortunately, a Florida school board got caught off guard. See for yourself how one fellow reacted when his wife lost her job as a school teacher and their benefits ran out… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQjQOlJvMzE&feature=player_embedded

  • spayne 12/16/2010 2:58pm

    I will never give up! We have to think positive! I am a full-time student in college and a 99er. My family and I don’t even have a Christmas tree much less presents! Without a tier 5 we are going to loose everything. I have barely fed my family for the past 3 months and now I am strapped for cash. Our government is f**cked up! they sit in there buisness suites acting like they relate to us poor people. That is BULLS**T! Now I have spoken my mind. I am a surviver and I will pray until the ship sinks which I will never let it! Lets all think positive together and prey and maybe we can get something going. Our energy together can make a difference! Now I have spoke my mind!

  • jimmyc1065 12/17/2010 4:25am

    I am one of the 99er’s and the end is almost here. I am a 58 year old Vetran who has worked hard all my life. All my savings are gone, I am about to loose my home, and no one wants to hire a 58year old guy. I am screwed. But all the rich politicians don’t care about people like me. This will be the worst Christmas I have ever had. Wall street caused this problem and the Govt bailed them out, who is going to bail people like me out? I guess I’ll be living in my car and begging for food before too much longer. But then again maybe the end will come before too much longer. Thanks Washington.

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  • misscalicious 02/23/2011 2:07pm

    Unfortunately, Unemployment does not provide the lavish lifestyle that is enviable by all of the working class. UNEMPLOYED people barely meet THEIR basic needs with unemployment. For most, that does not include medical benefits. It means partial rent, food, gasoline to get to interviews, and a mobile phone to get the numerous calls from potential employers during this depression/recession. ITS NOT A PRETTY PICTURE and I wish EVERY PERSON DENYING BENEFITS for the 99ers, or unsympathetic, WOULD BE FORCED TO LIVE ON UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS BASED ON THEIR SALARIES, FOR 2 YEARS. I had a very nice job at a law firm in January 2009, when I got laid off. I have 25 years experience as a corporate legal secretary, working in the best firms in Los Angeles. I apply for jobs online and registered with 13 legal agencies. Most people will take any job IF THERE WERE JOBS.

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